Research

Reliable decisions in an uncertain world.

I study how learning improves decisions under imperfect predictions and models, connecting mathematical guarantees, AI agents, and energy infrastructure.

Research landscape

Good predictions create opportunities. Reliable algorithms make them useful.

Information, trust, and physical constraints connect these research themes.

Selected projects

Browse papers
INSTRUCT MPCCDC · 2025

Turning context into control

  1. Instructions
  2. Predictions
  3. Control

Human instructions become disturbance predictions, connecting language models to feedback control.

Research papers

2026AAAI

Adaptive Riemannian Graph Neural Networks

Xudong Wang, Chris Ding, Tongxin Li, Jicong Fan

ARGNN learns a node specific Riemannian metric instead of imposing one fixed curvature on an entire graph. A diagonal metric parameterization and geometric regularization support efficient training, with convergence analysis and experiments on homophilic and heterophilic graphs.

2026Applied Energy

Counterfactual load forecasting with LLM-structured events and representation learning

Yujie Chen, Yifei Gao, Runyao Yu, Yuhe Wu, Guangyu Wang, Yue Chen, Tongxin Li

NACF turns news into structured treatments and estimates load trajectories under alternative event conditions. Reweighting and representation balancing address observed confounding. Experiments examine factual accuracy and interpretable demand perturbations without claiming that unobserved counterfactual outcomes can be directly validated.

2026CSEE JPES

Quantum Learning and Estimation for Coordinated Operation between Distribution Networks and Energy Communities

Yingrui Zhuang, Lin Cheng, Yuji Cao, Tongxin Li, Ning Qi, Yan Xu, Yue Chen

A hybrid quantum learning model estimates energy community responses to prices, while quantum amplitude estimation supports uncertainty calculations. Numerical studies assess accuracy and resource requirements. Reported timing advantages assume ideal quantum devices rather than deployed hardware.

2026IEEE Control Systems Letters

VigilMPC: Certified Online Tube Model Predictive Control for Safe Real-Time Neuromodulation

Yu Mao, Zhichao Liang, Junxiang Zhang, Quanying Liu, Tongxin Li

VigilMPC accepts a predictor update only when a backup plan remains feasible under tightened constraints. Recursive feasibility and constraint satisfaction follow under the tube MPC assumptions. Evaluation uses simulated neural dynamics and a switching benchmark, rather than clinical deployment.

2025ACM e-Energy demo

Open In-Context Energy Management Platform

Yikai Lu, Tinko Sebastian Bartels, Ruixiang Wu, Fanzeng Xia, Xudong Wang, Yifei Wu, Haoxiang Yang, Tongxin Li

OpenCEM presents a platform design connecting energy time series, events, human context, and simulation. An on campus solar and battery installation motivates evaluation of context sensitive control. The paper describes planned data and API capabilities.

2025Environmental Data Science

Robust machine-learned algorithms for efficient grid operation

Nicolas Christianson, Christopher Yeh, Tongxin Li, Mehdi Hosseini, Mahdi Torabi Rad, Azarang Golmohammadi, Adam Wierman

RobustML combines a learned dispatch algorithm with a bound on worst case cost. A combined cycle cogeneration case study examines dispatch and ramping costs as renewable penetration increases, including performance under distribution shift.

2023IEEE Open Journal of Control Systems

Certifying Black-Box Policies With Stability for Nonlinear Control

Tongxin Li, Ruixiao Yang, Guannan Qu, Yiheng Lin, Adam Wierman, Steven H. Low

Simply blending two stabilizing policies can cause instability. An adaptive confidence policy instead uses approximate model information to certify stability, with competitive guarantees under bounded nonlinearity and evaluations on Cart Pole and charging under distribution shift.

2021IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid

Learning-Based Predictive Control via Real-Time Aggregate Flexibility

Tongxin Li, Bo Sun, Yue Chen, Zixin Ye, Steven H. Low, Adam Wierman

Maximum entropy feedback summarizes the feasible actions of controllable loads. Reinforcement learning approximates this feedback for Penalized Predictive Control, reducing information and computation requirements. Charging data demonstrates the coordination approach.

2020POMACS

Competitive Algorithms for the Online Multiple Knapsack Problem with Application to Electric Vehicle Charging

Bo Sun, Ali Zeynali, Tongxin Li, Mohammad Hajiesmaili, Adam Wierman, Danny H. K. Tsang

A general fractional multiple knapsack model captures assignment and rate constraints. An online primal dual algorithm obtains near optimal competitive guarantees and is evaluated using charging traces. This work provides an online allocation foundation without requiring learned predictions.

Connections across the work

Conceptual links between research themes, grounded in the papers below.

PredictionsControl

From prediction error to control performance

Trust adaptation in linear quadratic control and perturbation bounds for MPC connect the quality of a forecast to the cost of acting on it. Nonlinear certification adds stability to this picture.

AgentsControl

From language context to constrained actions

INSTRUCT MPC translates human instructions into disturbance predictions. World model certification and VigilMPC study complementary ways of deciding which learned models can support reliable planning and safe updates.

PredictionsAgents

Algorithms guide learned decision makers

Q value advice and imperfect transition forecasts provide structured information for reinforcement learning. LEAD applies a related principle by supporting language agents with dueling bandit algorithms.

ControlEnergy

Guarantees meet physical infrastructure

Aggregate flexibility communicates feasible actions for coordinated charging. Robust dispatch and safe water control connect performance guarantees to operational costs and physical constraints.

AgentsEnergy

Context becomes an energy system input

OpenCEM motivates shared contextual energy benchmarks. INSTRUCT MPC uses instructions for control, while counterfactual load forecasting represents news events as interventions on electricity demand.

Games and equityEnergy

Coordination through information and incentives

Virtual power plants use renewable predictions to coordinate consumers. Energy sharing and transportation games model how charging demand, prices, and network constraints interact.

InformationEnergy

Recovering structure from limited measurements

Graph recovery estimates electrical network parameters. Charging curve clustering and energy disaggregation recover useful structure from observed behavior and aggregate meter readings.

Open research directions

Questions motivated by this body of work. These are directions to explore, rather than established results.

Open question

Certified contextual control

Can contextual and world model updates be certified before they affect a physical system?

Connect language conditioned predictions with local world model guarantees and feasibility checks. An open challenge is preserving safety when both the context and the learned dynamics change during operation.

Starting points

Open question

Prediction quality as a decision resource

Which prediction errors actually matter for the decision being made?

Move from a single forecast accuracy score to guarantees that reflect the prediction, the task, and the affected transitions. This suggests adaptive confidence allocation across sources, horizons, and latent disturbances.

Starting points

Open question

Coordinated low carbon infrastructure

Can distributed energy and water resources adapt together under changing conditions?

Combine local feasibility summaries with distributed predictive control and contextual energy models. Open questions include communication limits, distribution shift, and guarantees across coupled physical networks.

Starting points

Open question

Accountable learning across agents

How should shared models balance efficiency, strategic risk, and equity?

Connect the downstream objectives of public models to robust strategic decision making. A key challenge is evaluating advice when its benefits and failures are distributed unevenly across participating agents.

Starting points